for the 2028 president bet, results only come out near the end of 2028

now it’s 2025, 3 yrs away

so if we choose this one, it takes 3 yrs to materialize the profit if any

and polymarket offers 4% apy interests

so any strategy also has a hidden time opportunity cost

so likely it’s still better to win by better predictions

polymarket offers sell at any time

and price could change any time

it means if you get better prediction you can profit before the results are out

and it’s like the stock market, with value being the real outcome in the end, or the crowd betted price.

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